The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “The Trump Revolution continues.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR’s focus throughout 2025 has been on the range of existential problems complex issues facing America. These concerns were challenged by TLR’s imaginary mythical prophetess Cassandra in TLR’s December 6th commentary....

  • “How did TLR do?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR conveyed its perspective for 2025 shortly after Election Day in “Trumpian Disruptions.” Domestically, TLR predicted that “Donald Trump will transform Federal power by greatly expanding the prerogatives of America’s Executive...

  • “Political PR ignores market analysis.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... M&A (mergers and acquisitions) is a challenging business in which brilliant businesspeople spend an inordinate amount of time in merger battles. Yet, a multi-decade analysis by The Economist concludes...

  • “The risk of a doomsday event is rising.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... In January, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists moved the second hand on The Doomsday Clock forward from 1 minute and 30 seconds before midnight to 1...

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The Rule of Law

“America’s judiciary is the Founders’ safety valve.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… TLR first wrote about the Rule of Law in April 2019, emphasizing its significance as a cornerstone of America’s success. The American Rule of Law is different

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COVID Data

“COVID has trashed America’s Big Blue Cities. It soon will disrupt America’s Great Middle. Big Data tells the tale.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Although there is disagreement over the appropriate method to use in calculating the number of

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“You Say You Want a Revolution…”*

“Is duck-and-cover the safest course for the combination of Trump 2.0 and DeepSeek?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… For those who scoffed at the possibility of a second American revolution, welcome to Trump 2.0. For those who disbelieved Candidate

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.