The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “The Iran War is igniting an inflationary bonfire.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR yesterday had the opportunity to discuss economics with Cassandra, the mythical Trojan priestess gifted by the Greek God Apollo with the ability to make accurate prophesies...

  • “Is a gerrymandered democracy good for America?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR first discussed gerrymandering 7 years ago. That commentary, “Elbridge Gerry’s Salamander,” is being republished today in light of last week’s ruling by a Virginia county judge declaring...

  • “Highs and lows of April 2026…, and thereafter.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR recently received a number of questions from readers. TLR’s responses follow: Dear Mr. Realist:           I’ve been reading a range of commentators’...

  • “There is and will be further collateral damage from the Iran War.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... We are 7 weeks into the Iran War and markets have been soaring. even more so following comments made by President Trump...

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More by TLR

What Will 2023 Bring? – Part 2

“Cassandra last week predicted that 2023 would bring deglobalization, inflation, recession and further fragmentation and tribalization. There are other views.” — The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Readers are familiar with TLR’s habit of seeking insights from both oracles and experts.

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Icebergs and Eisenhower

“America is facing a disproportionate number of existential threats. They can’t be successfully navigated without common agreement that they exist… and that they must be confronted.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… “I wish it need not have happened in

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The Fed Rate Hike & GDP: A New Great Recession?

“This week’s Fed Rate Hike and negative GDP report provide recession grist for would-be oracles, but don’t bet-the-farm on alleged experts’ conjectures. No one can predict the future.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Those who assert their ability to

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.