The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “It’s about ‘Fortress America’…, and much more.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Hypothesis: Both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping understand that the Thucydides Trap would represent a disastrous outcome for each country. President Trump appreciates that a Thucydides outcome...

  • “Because Strategy, Inc. is a significant investor in Bitcoin, Bitcoin’s price is being adversely affected by Strategy, Inc.’s price.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR wrote in December 2021 about “Bitcon,” using a label intended to highlight what at...

  • The Lonely Realist now also can be found on Substack at https://substack.com/@thelonelyrealist?utm_source=global-search.Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player...

  • “The Iran War has strengthened the Islamic Republic…, or has it?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... President Trump announced on May 23rd that a “PEACE Agreement” with Iran “has been largely negotiated” and that the details would be “announced...

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More by TLR

“The Changing World Order”

“Although many pessimists hear echoes of the 1930s …, 2022 is not 1939.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… A TLR theme has been to highlight parallels between the Great Depression decade and the decade following the Global Financial Crisis

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If Demographics is Destiny…

“What does a declining U.S. population portend?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported that America’s population for the 12-month period from July 2024 to July 2025 increased by only 1.8 million, or 0.5%…, which

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Do you have an Interest in Interest?

You should!  Everyone today should have an intense interest in interest … and for a simple reason:  America’s, and the world’s, economy hinges on the rate of interest that debtors –at all credit levels – will be paying over the next few years.  Don’t flinch. 

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.