The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “How to measure Trump Administration success?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The Lonely Realist recently received emails from two readers heaping praise on President Trump: “America now has secure borders; America has instituted mass deportations of criminal illegals; The...

  • “Centralized government control – Statism – strangles capitalism and economic growth.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Democrats historically have supported centralized policymaking and government control whereas Republicans have placed their trust in private industry and free markets. That contrast...

  • “Is a crash inevitable? Is the only question ‘When?’” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Ray Dalio recently wrote about the difficulties with “The U.S. Government’s Situation”: “[I]magine that you are running a big business called the U.S. government…. The...

  • “Growing up to be President is every child’s dream.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... With AI threatening to wipe out entry-level employment in many of America’s knowledge-based industries, including medicine, law, accounting, and finance, a number of readers have...

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Separate Realities

“We reject the certified results of the 2020 Presidential election, and we hold that acting President Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. was not legitimately elected by the people of the United States.” – Texas Republican Party, June 12, 2022[1]Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player…

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Boiling the Inflation Frog

“Human beings who can predict tomorrow’s stock market action quickly become wealthy.  They are considered geniuses.  If they could accurately predict the weather one week out, they’d be considered clairvoyant.  Unfortunately, no person can consistently forecast the stock market even only one day out, or

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The Fabulous Federal Reserve*

America’s economy has been on a roll since the Great Recession of 2009. GDP has been on a steady rise with average annual increases in excess of 2{29ea29b64b10057f61377b2c087cd5b7537a0cd24da4295a308b0bf589469f35}. It has yet to record even a single negative quarter. Job creation has exceeded projections with the

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.