The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “AI is coming for your job.” – The Lonely Realist “And then will be coming for you.” – CassandraLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR recently had a thoughtful conversation about Artificial Intelligence with Cassandra, the mythical oracle TLR often consults about the...

  • “America will never be the same.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Whether you’re a fan or a critic of Donald J. Trump, in the 12 short months of Trump 2.0, the President has accomplished every goal he set. He...

  • “Reserve currencies never die; they just fade away.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... A number of readers have challenged TLR’s assertion that the US Dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” is eroding. They are skeptical that any level of actual de-dollarization is...

  • “What does a declining U.S. population portend?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported that America’s population for the 12-month period from July 2024 to July 2025 increased by only 1.8 million, or 0.5%…, which...

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Speak Softly and Carry A Big Stick; They’re All Keynsians Now*

Speak Softly and Carry A Big StickLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Big Stick Diplomacy was Theodore Roosevelt’s foreign policy trademark. Roosevelt described his style as “the exercise of intelligent forethought and of decisive action sufficiently far in advance of any likely crisis.”

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Is This Time the Same?*

Is This Time the Same?Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Is history repeating itself? Most economists and historians think so. They believe that cycles recur, that human nature endures and requires that economic, political and social trends take the same non-random walk …

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The Presidential Quest

“‘May you live in interesting times’ is a curse, and the next four years are likely to be the most interesting in human history.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Although running for President in 2024 looks like it would

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.