The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “It’s about ‘Fortress America’…, and much more.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Hypothesis: Both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping understand that the Thucydides Trap would represent a disastrous outcome for each country. President Trump appreciates that a Thucydides outcome...

  • “Because Strategy, Inc. is a significant investor in Bitcoin, Bitcoin’s price is being adversely affected by Strategy, Inc.’s price.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR wrote in December 2021 about “Bitcon,” using a label intended to highlight what at...

  • The Lonely Realist now also can be found on Substack at https://substack.com/@thelonelyrealist?utm_source=global-search.Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player...

  • “The Iran War has strengthened the Islamic Republic…, or has it?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... President Trump announced on May 23rd that a “PEACE Agreement” with Iran “has been largely negotiated” and that the details would be “announced...

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Managing The Economic Cycle (Part 2); Let’s Talk Turkey (again)*

Managing The Economic Cycle (Part 2)Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Despite rumors to the contrary, Economic Cycles have not been repealed. As the current Economic Expansion ages, the Fed and the U.S. government will face increasingly difficult economic challenges. Expansions always have

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The Ukraine Imperative

“America’s national interest requires Ukraine to be a bipartisan bridge.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… After America’s calamitous withdrawal from Afghanistan in the Summer of 2021, TLR wrote that “America is war-weary. Its three most recent Presidents – Obama,

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The Stock Market-AI Romance

“Buy the dips?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Did you sell the rally at the stock market’s recent high on May 14? Are you going to follow the adage of “selling in May and going away”? Or are you

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.