The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “It’s about ‘Fortress America’…, and much more.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Hypothesis: Both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping understand that the Thucydides Trap would represent a disastrous outcome for each country. President Trump appreciates that a Thucydides outcome...

  • “Because Strategy, Inc. is a significant investor in Bitcoin, Bitcoin’s price is being adversely affected by Strategy, Inc.’s price.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR wrote in December 2021 about “Bitcon,” using a label intended to highlight what at...

  • The Lonely Realist now also can be found on Substack at https://substack.com/@thelonelyrealist?utm_source=global-search.Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player...

  • “The Iran War has strengthened the Islamic Republic…, or has it?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... President Trump announced on May 23rd that a “PEACE Agreement” with Iran “has been largely negotiated” and that the details would be “announced...

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Winter Has Come*

Winter Has ComeLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… It’s Economic Winter in America … and it’s cold. How much colder might it get? Very cold indeed! In a period of 4 short weeks, a sudden Covid-19 medical and economic blizzard dumped record “snowfalls”

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Tales from the Economic Dark Side*

Tales from the Economic Dark SideLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Markets alternate between optimism and pessimism in a struggle that pits bulls against bears. Since optimism generally prevails, long-term investors – the bulls – most often have the happier endings. Markets go

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Are we Approaching a ‘Dalio Moment’?

“Not for some time.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… What is a “Dalio Moment”? Ray Dalio is a leading proponent of cycle theory. His book, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order, predicts an unhappy end to the

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.