The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “Or a new beginning?” “What is the evolutionary destiny of homo sapiens?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The question of humanity’s future has been the subject of intense philosophical discourse. Some believe they now have the answer. The biblically-inclined...

  • “The only difference between death and taxes is that death doesn’t get worse every time Congress meets.” – Will RogersLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The American government is running a $2 trillion annual deficit. Perfunctory efforts at budget cutting, whether by DOGE...

  • Consistent with two of TLR’s themes over the past 7 years, beginning with April 2019’s “Red Storm Rising” and June 2019’s “What is Money” and including the recent “What ‘America First’ Means to Allies and Enemies” and “Will the Dollar Surrender its Reserve Currency Crown?,”...

  • “It’s about ‘Fortress America’…, and much more.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Hypothesis: Both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping understand that the Thucydides Trap would represent a disastrous outcome for each country. President Trump appreciates that a Thucydides outcome...

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The Legal Precedent of Impeachment*

The Legal Precedent of ImpeachmentLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Over the more than 230 years of U.S. history, Articles of Impeachment have been filed by the House of Representatives against three American Presidents: Andrew Johnson in 1868; Richard Nixon in 1974; and

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A Soft Landing?

“Greed is Good!” – Gordon GekkoLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Was Cassandra right? Interviewed by TLR on February 18th, Cassandra predicted that the Federal Reserve would successfully fine-tune America’s economy and achieve a soft landing. She dismissed pundits’ warnings of an imminent

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Letters to the Editor: 9/4/22

A letter to the editor in response to this week’s The Lonely Realist: My undergraduate major was “Government” and my specialty was American defense policy – which, at heart, amounted to game theory. It was clear that what kept America safe internationally was people and

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.