The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “The Iran War has strengthened the Islamic Republic…, or has it?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... President Trump announced on May 23rd that a “PEACE Agreement” with Iran “has been largely negotiated” and that the details would be “announced...

  • “Buy the dips?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Did you sell the rally at the stock market’s recent high on May 14? Are you going to follow the adage of “selling in May and going away”? Or are you...

  • “Neither Congress nor the Supreme Court will do anything about it.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Article I, Section 8, Clause 11 of the Constitution grants Congress the exclusive power to declare war. Article II, Section 2 of the...

  • “Who will history declare to have been the winner of the Iran War, and who the loser?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR has excerpted the following from Sunday’s Rosen Report, the author of which is Eric Rosen (TLR...

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An American Civil War?

“Ray Dalio has concluded that ‘The Failure of Kevin McCarthy is Another Step Toward Civil War.’ Is it?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates’ founder and author of The Changing World Order, believes that “we are

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The 2024 Presidential Election

“It’s the economy, stupid!” – James Carville (1992)Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Americans vote their wallets. Whether they like the incumbent’s or the challenger’s policies … or hate them both, they’ll vote for the candidate they believe will impact most positively on

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Deflation?*

Deflation?Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Winter Deflation is coming. Or is it? If deflation is coming, will Central Bankers once again be able to Defend the Wall keep it at bay? Prior to 2019, the longest period of GDP growth in U.S.

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.