The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.
In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.
“America will never be the same.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Whether you’re a fan or a critic of Donald J. Trump, in the 12 short months of Trump 2.0, the President has accomplished every goal he set. He...
“Reserve currencies never die; they just fade away.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... A number of readers have challenged TLR’s assertion that the US Dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” is eroding. They are skeptical that any level of actual de-dollarization is...
“What does a declining U.S. population portend?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported that America’s population for the 12-month period from July 2024 to July 2025 increased by only 1.8 million, or 0.5%…, which...
“That’s a quote from a reader. Government numbers are confusing. Can they be reconciled?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The recent inflation data released by America’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) was tame. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose...
The Twitter MarketLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Stock markets go up and stock markets go down. America’s current bull market has been going up since 2009, its longest run ever. It’s been buoyed by consistently positive U.S. GDP growth, massive government spending
“What others now are saying is what TLR warned about years ago.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… In a recent opinion piece in Bloomberg, noted historian Niall Ferguson emphasized longstanding TLR themes, one of which is “the formation and
“Is the bull back?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… The bear warnings have been ominous. Virtually every seasoned analyst today is predicting a 2023 recession. One of America’s premier economists, A. Gary Shilling, goes further, saying that the recession
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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.
