The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “The Iran War is igniting an inflationary bonfire.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR yesterday had the opportunity to discuss economics with Cassandra, the mythical Trojan priestess gifted by the Greek God Apollo with the ability to make accurate prophesies...

  • “Is a gerrymandered democracy good for America?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR first discussed gerrymandering 7 years ago. That commentary, “Elbridge Gerry’s Salamander,” is being republished today in light of last week’s ruling by a Virginia county judge declaring...

  • “Highs and lows of April 2026…, and thereafter.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR recently received a number of questions from readers. TLR’s responses follow: Dear Mr. Realist:           I’ve been reading a range of commentators’...

  • “There is and will be further collateral damage from the Iran War.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... We are 7 weeks into the Iran War and markets have been soaring. even more so following comments made by President Trump...

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More by TLR

Whither Inflation?; A Peak at the Meltdown of Retailing*

Whither Inflation (an ongoing discussion)?Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… The Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and other Central Bankers have been working in parallel to stimulate their economies. To do so, they’ve printed

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An Economic Intermission

“No one enjoyed watching this past year’s “The Big Bust.” Inflation, crypto winter, bank crises. Wow! How will this movie end?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… The Big Boom, America’s favorite movie for more than a decade, ended its

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Managing The Economic Cycle (Part 1)*

Managing The Economic Cycle (Part 1)Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… An Economic Cycle has four stages. Simply stated, there’s (1) an expansion that reaches (2) a peak and results in (3) a contraction that reaches (4) a trough. Then the cycle repeats.

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.