The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “There is and will be further collateral damage from the Iran War.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... We are 7 weeks into the Iran War and markets have been soaring. even more so following comments made by President Trump...

  • “Three quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty.” – Carl von Clausewitz “Beware the ‘fog of war.’” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... When asked in...

  • “Hope for the best, but plan for the worst.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Today’s TLR continues to analyze the potential economic fallout from the Iran War by assessing the consequences of two “what if” possibilities: What if (1)...

  • “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – attributed to Mark TwainLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR earlier this month addressed three possible outcomes for the Iran War. The first is the one sought by America and its allies: America and Israel...

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More by TLR

Deflation?*

Deflation?Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Winter Deflation is coming. Or is it? If deflation is coming, will Central Bankers once again be able to Defend the Wall keep it at bay? Prior to 2019, the longest period of GDP growth in U.S.

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“State Capitalism” is Socialism

“America has become the poster child for creeping socialism.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… There is no such thing as “State capitalism.” That’s a term invented to put a positive spin on State control of markets and industries –

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“The Economy, Stupid?”

“Will economic well-being matter in 2024?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… This past October, TLR predicted that the 2024 Presidential election would be decided by “The Economy, Stupid,” noting that “James Carville’s memorable 1992 campaign quip was prescient then and

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.