The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “That is, investment timing is everything…, except over the past decade and a half when ‘buying the dip’ has been all the ‘timing’ needed.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... [“Timing is Everything” was written earlier this week, before “the dip.”...

  • “America has become the poster child for creeping socialism.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... There is no such thing as “State capitalism.” That’s a term invented to put a positive spin on State control of markets and industries –...

  • “China’s advantages in the production and refinement of rare earth elements are significant.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... TLR this week received a number of emails disagreeing with TLR‘s assertion in last week’s commentary that China’s virtual monopoly over rare...

  • “ETFs and rare earths (and even soyabeans) are economic weapons.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... An ETF is a public investment fund that trades on stock exchanges in the same way as a single stock (and with more liquidity...

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The Tariff-Tax

“The only difference between death and taxes is that death doesn’t get worse with every Executive Order.” – The Lonely Realist (with thanks to Will Rogers)Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Tariffs are taxes imposed on goods entering the country. They are a

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Why It’s Called “The Past”

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Foggy Economics*

Foggy EconomicsLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… Where are those neat crystal ball predictions that students of economics used to rely on? Why is it that so many of today’s analysts, historians and financial industry pundits – including the Federal Reserve – are

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.