The Lonely Realist is a bridge across the partisan gap, raising questions and making pointed observations about politics, economics, international relations and the markets. Its goal is to raise awareness and inspire thought on controversial issues that impact America and Americans, highlighting issues that should be, but rarely are, the focus of bipartisan discussion.

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In seeking to promote dialogue, The Lonely Realist is not an advocate of conclusions or remedies. To the extent perceived biases leak into these pages, as they sometimes do, please ignore them. They are inadvertent missteps.

  • “Does K-12 public education have a future?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... How will artificial intelligence, budget cuts, tax incentives, social media influence, partisan-induced truthiness, and burgeoning charter-, private- and home-schooling affect America’s skill- knowledge-based education system? Whatever the...

  • “Populist policymaking can be extraordinarily destructive.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... Both Republican MAGAism and Democratic Party Progressivism have found sizable voter bases among “ordinary people who feel that their concerns have been disregarded by established elites” – an...

  • “Are all lights green for Trump 2.0?” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... The government shutdown is over. The Democrats folded their cards, ending the longest government shutdown in American history. It was another Trump triumph…, and another Democratic Party...

  • “That is, investment timing is everything…, except over the past decade and a half when ‘buying the dip’ has been all the ‘timing’ needed.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... [“Timing is Everything” was written earlier this week, before “the dip.”...

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“The Bedford Incident” and Taiwan

TLR‘s February 6, 2021 commentary was “Lessons from ‘The Bedford Incident.’” It was timely then and is even more so now. Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan and Ray Dalio’s “The US-China Tit-For-Tat Escalations Are Very Dangerous” highlight the enhanced risks.Loading the Elevenlabs Text to

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Axis of the Sanctioned, Part 2*

Axis of the Sanctioned, Part 2Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… “The enemy of my enemy is my friend,” the catchphrase in the June 21st TLR, is attributed to a 4th Century B.C. Sanskrit treatise on statecraft. It has unfortunate important applications today

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Are we Approaching a ‘Dalio Moment’?

“Not for some time.” – The Lonely RealistLoading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player… What is a “Dalio Moment”? Ray Dalio is a leading proponent of cycle theory. His book, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order, predicts an unhappy end to the

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William (Bill) Natbony is The Lonely Realist, its author and originator. The opinions expressed in TLR are solely Bill’s opinions, have not been edited or reviewed, and do not reflect the views or opinions or any other person.