The Lonely Realist |

21 Mar TLR Week in Review: March 21, 2025

Posted at 16:45h in Business, Economics, Foreign Policy, General, International Relations, Law, Politics, Pragmatic Alchemist, Social 0 Comments

Sponsored research brought to you by Centennial Quantitative Welcome to this week’s edition of The Lonely Realist Week in Review. In a week marked by bold moves and high-stakes political theater, the nation finds itself at a crossroads of policy and power. President Trump has set...

01 Mar Construing “Peace Through Strength”

Posted at 12:38h in General, International Relations, Society 4 Comments

“What will be the effect of abandoning Pax Americana?” – The Lonely Realist Donald Trump is reorganizing the world order. If you thought that the Trump Revolution would have a profound impact only on America’s domestic institutions, you were wrong. Trump 2.0 intends to effect even...

04 Jan The Best and Worst of 2025 – Part 2

Posted at 12:09h in Economics, Foreign Policy, General, International Relations, Society 0 Comments

“The 2025 'Word of the Year' is 'volatility'.” – The Lonely Realist As highlighted in last week’s TLR, America is looking forward to an economically and politically volatile 2025. More extreme volatility can be expected internationally. Although many disagree with Ray Dalio's forecast of geopolitical (and economic)...

07 Dec Permabear Defined

Posted at 12:40h in Economics, General, International Relations, Society 0 Comments

“The ‘Permabear interview’ is a challenge to Cassandra’s 2025 predictions.” – The Lonely Realist A year ago, Cassandra predicted that “the Fed will continue to follow an easing path and, although it will use tough-talk to temper over-exuberance, it will not tolerate a recession. With inflation...

30 Nov Trumpian Disruptions

Posted at 12:14h in Foreign Policy, General, International Relations, Politics, Society 0 Comments

“Voters expect change…, and change they will get.” – The Lonely Realist There are any number of ways in which the incoming Trump Administration will disrupt the status quo. Presidential Power. Domestically, Donald Trump will transform Federalism Federal power by greatly expanding the prerogatives of America’s Executive:...

01 Mar Construing “Peace Through Strength”

04 Jan The Best and Worst of 2025 – Part 2

07 Dec Permabear Defined

30 Nov Trumpian Disruptions

Recession Redux

Due Process

War

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