“No one enjoyed watching this past year's "The Big Bust." Inflation, crypto winter, bank crises. Wow! How will this movie end?” – The Lonely Realist The Big Boom, America’s favorite movie for more than a decade, ended its run more than a year ago. Its sequel,...
“The canaries have stopped singing.” – Cassandra “The canaries are nervously pacing their cages.” – The Lonely Realist Cassandra’s warnings in prior TLRs presaged today's widely-held conclusion that the global economy has passed a tipping point. The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, First Republic and...
"SVB's excessive duration risk punched a government bailout ticket.” – The Lonely Realist The recent failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) spotlights fatal flaws in America's banking system. America's bankers (as well as its uninsured savers) are being rewarded rather than punished for mismanaging their risks,...
“It may seem that America has experienced major changes over the last four years, but the reality is that the more things appear to have changed, the more they’ve stayed the same.” – The Lonely Realist Today marks the beginning of TLR’s fifth year. With more...
“Recent trends have no precedent. The world’s economies, governments and societies are in uncharted territory.” – The Lonely Realist A recurring TLR theme has been that “These Times are Different" …, but not all that different. Although the world has been experiencing an historical cycle that...