“America has a new-yet-old model of ‘Peace Through Strength.’” – The Lonely Realist Trump 1.0 foreign policy featured 1930s-style isolationism. Trump 2.0 foreign policy portends 18th Century-style imperialism. Hemispheric Manifest Destiny anyone? As TLR first addressed in 2019’s “Speak Softly and Carry a Big Stick,” 20th Century America...
“Expect the unexpected.” – The Lonely Realist Although there is no necessary significance to the first 100 days of a President’s term, the first 100 days of the Donald Trump Administration has the potential to be world-changing. Upon assuming office, President Trump promises to deport illegal aliens,...
“The 2025 'Word of the Year' is 'volatility'.” – The Lonely Realist As highlighted in last week’s TLR, America is looking forward to an economically and politically volatile 2025. More extreme volatility can be expected internationally. Although many disagree with Ray Dalio's forecast of geopolitical (and economic)...
Dear Mr Realist: I should probably await Part 2 before commenting, but I can’t help myself…. Count me as being firmly in the pessimistic camp. I think President-elect Trump has been extremely clear in his pronouncements as to what he will do on day one AND his...
“2024 was a volatile year. What are the domestic prospects for 2025?” – The Lonely Realist The Optimists: Perhaps Cassandra will be right: “The Fed will continue to cut interest rates well into 2025, driving GDP and stock market prices higher. America’s corporations have seen their...