“2022 was a year full of surprises.” – The Lonely Realist In geopolitics, 2022 was war's comeback year. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine ended an era of declining military violence and followed an unprecedented 77 years of European peace. And, yet, despite every expectation of a quick...
“Cassandra last week predicted that 2023 would bring deglobalization, inflation, recession and further fragmentation and tribalization. There are other views.” -- The Lonely Realist Readers are familiar with TLR’s habit of seeking insights from both oracles and experts. After digesting last week’s chilling 2023 predictions from...
“2023 will be unpredictable.” – The Lonely Realist "No.” – Cassandra TLR readers last heard from Cassandra on October 1st when she predicted that the world would continue to fragment, deglobalize and tribalize, a notably dark view of the future. TLR has consistently looked to Cassandra to...
“What do today’s revolutions portend?” – The Lonely Realist As TLR first noted in August 2019, the world has experienced massive revolutions over the past 250 years in agriculture, industrial production, technology (including artificial intelligence) and biotechnology, all of which are continuing. They have brought unparalleled...
“America’s treasury is bankrupt.” – The Lonely Realist As Herb Stein, Chairman of the Counsel of Economic Advisers under Presidents Nixon and Ford, famously said, “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop” – Stein’s Law. America’s combination of excessive spending, too-low taxes and multi-trillion-dollar...