“What will be the effect of abandoning Pax Americana?” – The Lonely Realist Donald Trump is reorganizing the world order. If you thought that the Trump Revolution would have a profound impact only on America’s domestic institutions, you were wrong. Trump 2.0 intends to effect even...
“What action(s) by the Trump Administration might cross a red line?” – The Lonely Realist Government actions can cross a line…, which is a truism when it comes to the actions of revolutionary governments. Revolutionary governments rise to overthrow political, economic and social norms. The Trump...
“America has a new-yet-old model of ‘Peace Through Strength.’” – The Lonely Realist Trump 1.0 foreign policy featured 1930s-style isolationism. Trump 2.0 foreign policy portends 18th Century-style imperialism. Hemispheric Manifest Destiny anyone? As TLR first addressed in 2019’s “Speak Softly and Carry a Big Stick,” 20th Century America...
“Expect the unexpected.” – The Lonely Realist Although there is no necessary significance to the first 100 days of a President’s term, the first 100 days of the Donald Trump Administration has the potential to be world-changing. Upon assuming office, President Trump promises to deport illegal aliens,...
“The 2025 'Word of the Year' is 'volatility'.” – The Lonely Realist As highlighted in last week’s TLR, America is looking forward to an economically and politically volatile 2025. More extreme volatility can be expected internationally. Although many disagree with Ray Dalio's forecast of geopolitical (and economic)...
Dear Mr Realist: I should probably await Part 2 before commenting, but I can’t help myself…. Count me as being firmly in the pessimistic camp. I think President-elect Trump has been extremely clear in his pronouncements as to what he will do on day one AND his...